Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000527 0.000571 0.000617 0.000667 0.000722 0.000780 0.000845
2026-01-25 0.000462 0.000523 0.000589 0.000666 0.000752 0.000848 0.000960
2026-02-01 0.000408 0.000479 0.000558 0.000654 0.000766 0.000894 0.001049
2026-02-08 0.000368 0.000445 0.000534 0.000645 0.000779 0.000935 0.001133
2026-02-15 0.000336 0.000418 0.000514 0.000637 0.000790 0.000974 0.001212
2026-02-22 0.000310 0.000394 0.000497 0.000630 0.000800 0.001010 0.001287
2026-03-01 0.000288 0.000374 0.000481 0.000624 0.000809 0.001043 0.001359
2026-03-08 0.000266 0.000353 0.000463 0.000613 0.000811 0.001065 0.001417
2026-03-15 0.000248 0.000335 0.000448 0.000603 0.000814 0.001089 0.001476
2026-03-22 0.000230 0.000316 0.000429 0.000588 0.000807 0.001099 0.001517
2026-03-29 0.000215 0.000301 0.000416 0.000579 0.000808 0.001118 0.001570
2026-04-05 0.000205 0.000291 0.000408 0.000577 0.000818 0.001150 0.001641
2026-04-12 0.000195 0.000282 0.000402 0.000579 0.000836 0.001194 0.001736
2026-04-19 0.000185 0.000272 0.000394 0.000577 0.000848 0.001232 0.001823
2026-04-26 0.000173 0.000258 0.000380 0.000567 0.000847 0.001252 0.001884
2026-05-03 0.000162 0.000247 0.000369 0.000559 0.000849 0.001274 0.001950
2026-05-10 0.000153 0.000237 0.000359 0.000553 0.000852 0.001299 0.002019
2026-05-17 0.000145 0.000227 0.000350 0.000547 0.000856 0.001323 0.002090
2026-05-24 0.000138 0.000219 0.000341 0.000541 0.000859 0.001348 0.002161
2026-05-31 0.000130 0.000209 0.000331 0.000531 0.000856 0.001361 0.002213
2026-06-07 0.000123 0.000200 0.000321 0.000523 0.000854 0.001377 0.002272
2026-06-14 0.000115 0.000190 0.000309 0.000510 0.000844 0.001378 0.002305
2026-06-21 0.000109 0.000183 0.000301 0.000503 0.000842 0.001393 0.002361